Monday, July 13, 2015

Key Strategies To Consider In Order To Succeed In A PPR League


Create Your Own Positional Rankings
Don’t be that person who shows up to a draft with printed out ranking sheets as your only source of preparation. Instead, create your own positional PPR rankings based on personal preferences and opinions. Once you complete your rankings, then seek other professional ranking sheets to see how your value of players aligns with that of experts in the fantasy football industry. You’d be surprised how entertaining and rewarding this process can be, as it will result in you having a stronger idea of how all players are valued in fantasy. Even more, it will give you an advantage on draft day since you will likely be more organized and prepared than other members of your league.

Draft From Picks 1, 2, 3, or 10 (Assuming a 10 Team League)
Even though most draft orders are determined randomly, I think it is advantageous to attempt and trade for the following draft positions: 1, 2, 3, or 10. If you are able to draft from one of these positions, you are nearly guaranteed to draft 1-2 elite WR’s/TE’s and a RB in the first three rounds. This will give you a major advantage in a PPR scoring format, since it will allow you to draft players such as Adrian Peterson, Alshon Jeffery, and Randall Cobb with your first three picks. The 10 slot in the draft order is also appealing, as you can obtain two elite WR’s like Demaryius Thomas, Calvin Johnson, Dez Bryant, or even A.J. Green in 10-team leagues.

Draft An Elite WR (Or Two) Early
Due to the minimal amount of workhorse RB’s in the NFL, I believe it is a sound strategy to draft elite WR’s early in PPR leagues. Imagine drafting Antonio Brown, Jordy Nelson, and Alson Jeffery with your first three picks. Not only would you own three of the best WR’s in fantasy, but you would also hold a major competitive advantage against your opponent on a weekly basis at WR since most people are inclined to draft RB’s early. If you implement this strategy for your draft, be sure to load up on RB’s in the middle and late rounds to build depth on your roster. Potential RB’s that may be available if your draft WR’s early on include Melvin Gordon, Carlos Hyde, T.J. Yeldon, Latavius Murray, or even C.J. Spiller. Clearly, you will miss out on the few elite RB’s available that are typically drafted in the first round, but will be able to pick up high-upside players who receive a slight uptick in value for PPR scoring formats based on their receiving abilities.

Load Up On Adept Receiving Backs
Implementing a “Zero RB Approach” can be a dangerous strategy in PPR leagues if you are unable to select valuable receiving backs during the middle-rounds of a draft. Therefore, make it a priority to compile RB’s who are adept at catching balls out of the backfield. This is especially important to do if you plan to invest in WR’s with some of your early draft picks.  

Here are some of my favorite receiving backs that can be drafted near the middle of every draft: Giovani Bernard, Shane Vereen, C.J. Spiller, Ameer Abdullah, and Charles Sims.

Wait On Drafting A Quarterback
Trust me, the opportunity cost of waiting to draft a quarterback is extremely beneficial. Instead of using a 3rd, 4th, or 5th round draft pick on the likes of Aaron Rodgers or Andrew luck, wait and select a QB in the later rounds. By doing so, you will be able to assemble a strong core of RB’s and WR’s/TE’s, which is essential to do in order to compete in PPR leagues.

QB’s I Recommend Targeting: Ryan Tannehill, Tony Romo, Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, and Teddy Bridgewater.

Don’t Be Afraid Of Bye Weeks
Time and time again I have witnessed fantasy owners pass on a RB, WR, or TE because their bye week conflicted with other starters on their roster. I recommend monitoring bye weeks, but do not believe that they should dictate whether or not you draft a certain player.

RB Example:  Eddie Lacy: Bye Week 7
                       Jeremy Hill: Bye Week 7
WR Example: Dez Bryant: Bye Week 6
                        Mike Evans: Bye Week 6

If you are fortunate enough to be a position to draft either combination of players presented above, do not let bye weeks influence you to avoid such incredible value. If you end up losing one week due to bye week constraints, then so be it. More likely than not, you will face opponents throughout the season with similar problems while your team is at full-strength.

Study Receiver Targets
A critical statistic to study and analyze before drafting in a PPR league is the amount of targets a receiver earned in a previous season. Consider the following list as a brief exposure to the idea:

2014 NFL Target Leaders
            1.) Antonio Brown & Demaryius Thomas: 178 Targets
            2.) Julio Jones: 156 Targets
            3.) Jordy Nelson: 146 Targets
4.) Kelvin Benjamin: 142 Targets
5.) Andre Johnson: 141 Targets

Evidently, these WR’s would be ideal players to target in a PPR league. However, targets do not always translate to success in fantasy. Thus, it is important to consider offensive schemes and player roles before selecting a player based on the amount of targets he has received. Still, targets are an important metric to utilize while attempting to project the success of a WR in PPR scoring.



Know Offensive Schemes
In order to understand how RB’s, WR’s, and TE’s will be involved in an offense, it is vital to recognize the coaching personnel that each player is surrounded by to gauge their overall value.

Therefore, consider the following teams with new coaching personnel and how it could make an impact from a fantasy perspective:

·      New York Jets Offensive Coordinator: Chan Gailey
o   Pros:
§  Balanced offensive attack
§  Uses a Spread Offense
§  Implements Three-WR Sets
o   Cons:
§  Rarely involves RB’s in the passing game

o   Increases Value: Brandon Marshall, Eric Decker, Jace Amaro, and Devin Smith
o   Decreases Value: Chris Ivory

·      Chicago Bears Offensive Coordinator: Adam Gase
o   Pros:
§  Has coordinated a successful Denver offense the past two seasons
§  Operates heavily with Three-WR Sets
o   Cons:
§  Does not distribute the ball to receiving backs often
o   Increases Value: Alshon Jeffery, Kevin White, Eddie Royal, and Martellus Bennett
o   Decreases Value: Matt Forte

·      Baltimore Ravens Offensive Coordinator: Marc Trestman
o   Pros:
§  Distributes the ball to receiving backs (Matt Forte- 102 receptions last season)
§  Will likely adopt Gary Kubiak’s offense scheme from last season
o   Cons:
§  Inconsistency with personnel usage
o   Increases Value: Justin Forsett, Javorius Allen, Maxx Williams
o   Decreases Value: Steve Smith


·      Buffalo Bills Offensive Coordinator: Greg Roman
o   Pros:
§  Run-Heavy Approach
§  Experienced OC (Previously with the SF 49ers)
o   Cons:
§  Rarely utilizes Three-WR Sets
§  Does not feature RB’s in the passing game
o   Increases Value: LeSean McCoy
o   Decreases Value: Sammy Watkins, Percy Harvin


·      Atlanta Falcons Offensive Coordinator: Kyle Shanahan
o   Pros:
§  Operates with a very balanced offensive attack
§  Run-Heavy at times
o   Cons:  
§  Does not have a tremendous success record
§  Rarely features his RB’s in the passing game
o   Increases Value: Tevin Coleman, Julio Jones
o   Decreases Value: Matt Ryan

·      Denver Broncos Head Coach: Gary Kubiak
o   Pros:
§  Loves to run the football
§  Has a good track record with the Houston Texans and Baltimore Ravens
o   Cons:
§  Can rely too heavily on the run at times
o   Increases Value: CJ Anderson
o   Decreases Value: Peyton Manning

Participate In Mock Drafts
Mock Drafts are an important aspect of preparing for a league if you’re a PPR beginner or veteran. By participating in multiple mock drafts, you will have a better understanding of ADP and where players are likely to be drafted. In addition, mock drafts allow you to experiment with different draft strategies; such as the Zero RB Approach. Overall, mock drafts are an important tool to utilize in order to be prepared for an actual draft.

Play In DFS Leagues Routinely
A common mistake that people make in re-draft leagues is only focusing on the players that they draft for their fantasy team. To solve this problem and develop a larger understanding of players, I recommend that everyone should at the very least try playing in a DFS league. Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) have actually become one of the more popular options for fantasy football as of late. Essentially, you are provided a budget and need to allocate funds to set a lineup every week. DFS will require intensive research and will surely expand your knowledge of players and statistics in the process. In turn, the knowledge you can obtain from playing DFS can be used for re-draft leagues by acquiring players on the waiver wire or through free agency that others may not be aware of. DFS is also intriguing because you can draft new players throughout the entire season and have the opportunity to win a substantial amount of money if enough time is invested into research.










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