If
you have never played in a dynasty fantasy football league before, then this
article is for you. Sure, it may seem rather obvious that youth is an important
dynamic in a dynasty structure, but I can assure you that there is much more to
dynasty than only the age of a player and how it could impact his production on
the field.
The following three elements best
illustrate how to be successful in a dynasty league and portray why you should
consider creating or joining one today. This is especially true if you want to
succeed in re-draft or DFS leagues this upcoming season, as participating in a
dynasty league can provide you with knowledge that will offer a competitive
advantage against fellow league members in the future.
1.)
Value:
In
dynasty, the most important factor to monitor is player value. This can be
measured by utilizing various metrics, such as ADP, dynasty rankings, or an
offensive scheme that a player is involved in. The challenging aspect of
determining a player’s value in dynasty is that it can unpredictably change.
For example, consider Eric Decker’s value
before and after he was with the Denver Broncos. In Denver, Decker was receiving
throws from Peyton Manning, and by no surprise posted an 85-1071-13 line in
2012. He followed that performance with an 87-1288-11 line in 2014. Now
consider Decker’s stats last season in 2014 with the New York Jets and Geno
Smith at quarterback, where he posted a 74-962-5 line. Clearly, Decker
experienced a huge drop in production once he left Denver. As a result, his
value has changed dramatically in dynasty. Decker’s dynasty owners witnessed
his value of a WR 1 fall to a borderline WR 2/3 in a matter of one season. However,
it is important to note that Decker’s value once again could be on the rise due
to the presence of new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey’s spread offense that
will be implemented this season in New York.
Overall, the best way to monitor player
value in dynasty is to constantly remain informed about news. It is vital to
read about player news, team articles, and personnel changes at all times of
the year in order to understand a player’s long-term value. This will help you
immensely once you begin trade negotiations with other members in your dynasty
league, as you will have an understanding of how a player is viewed across the
board. In addition, understanding a player’s ADP and dynasty value can greatly
assist you in determining when that player will be available in a re-draft league.
2.)
Trades:
Another unique aspect of dynasty
fantasy football is the ability to trade players on a regular basis. Unlike
re-draft or DFS, you own players on a dynasty team forever. Of course, similar to
the NFL, a dynasty owner can also choose to drop or trade a player. However, at
times it may be difficult to trade a player in dynasty, especially if he is
young or coming off of a productive season. Nevertheless, trades can be made
during any point of the year in dynasty, which makes the format my absolute
favorite to play in. Essentially, as a dynasty owner, you’re the GM of a team
and are solely responsible for its success. Typically, this means that you will
have to remain active throughout the entire year to ensure your team will
remain competive. As a result, there truly is no offseason in dynasty fantasy
football. Between inquiring about trades or monitoring rookies leading up to the
NFL draft, there truly is no time to waste in the offseason if you want to
compete in a dynasty league on a consistent basis.
In order to further examine how a
trade operates in dynasty, I will list and explain a few recent deals that I
have made in the three dynasty leagues that I actively participate in.
·
Trade
1:
o
Traded:
Doug Martin
o
Received:
Jay Ajayi
For this deal, I was looking to sell high
on Doug Martin after reports have indicated that he has shed weight this
offseason. After a stellar rookie campaign in 2012 where Martin rushed for
1,454 yards on 11 touchdowns and added 49 receptions for 472 yards through the
air, he has become one of the most frustrating RB’s to own in fantasy. His YPC
has dipped to 3.7 over the past two seasons, leading many people to believe
that Martin’s rookie season will be the best of his career. Hence, I decided to
move Martin and acquire Ajayi, who I believe has major upside as a rookie. If
it weren’t for knee concerns that surfaced around the NFL Draft, Ajayi could
have been drafted in the first or second round instead of the fifth to the
Miami Dolphins. Still, at only 22 years old, I foresee Ajayi producing in Miami
in the near future. I’m also not a huge Lamar Miller advocate due to his
fumbling issues, even though he averaged 5.1 YPC last season on 254 touches. I
simply do not believe that the Dolphins would have invested in Ajayi, albeit a
fifth round draft pick, if the team had long-term concerns about his health or
durability. In dynasty, I value Ajayi as a potential RB 1 with extremely high upside,
whereas I view Martin as a borderline RB 2/3 or FLEX play. This can be credited
to Tampa Bay’s love for Charles Sims and the transition to a pass-first offense
from the emergence of Jameis Winston.
·
Trade
2:
o
Traded:
Frank Gore, Tyler Eifert, and a 2016 3rd Round Draft Pick
o
Received:
Travis Kelce
I’m sure you’re thinking that it was
probably difficult to acquire Travis Kelce in dynasty; especially after all the
hype that he has been receiving this offseason. Well, you would be correct with
that assumption, as this trade took nearly an entire offseason to complete. The
owner that I acquired Kelce from is in a “win-now” mindset. As a result, I had
to give up a lot to acquire Kanas City’s breakout Tight End. However, since
this is dynasty and I still have a competitive team, I believe that trading for
Kelce was the right move. Drawing comparisons to Rob Gronkowski, Kelce (age 25)
has recovered from a knee injury that cost him his entire rookie season. Even
though he played on limited snaps in 2014, Kelce has proven he can perform as
an elite TE by posting a line of 66-856-5. Now with Jeremy Maclin in the mix
(who will surely require extra defensive coverage), I believe that Kelce is
destined for an incredible season. Accordingly, I view him as a top 50 asset in
dynasty and the number two TE overall. That’s right, I have him ranked over
Jimmy Graham, who I believe will see a decrease in both receptions and total
yardage while playing in Seattle. This leaves the door wide open for Kelce to
reach fantasy stardom in both dynasty and re-draft formats this season.
·
Trade
3:
o
Traded:
Kendall Wright, 2016 1st Round Draft Pick
o
Received:
Keenan Allen
This was one of the more difficult trades
that I have made recently in dynasty. In this league, my WR corps consists of
Demaryius Thomas, Alshon Jeffery, and Michael Floyd. The league structure also
allows you to start up to four WR’s. In order to start four elite WR’s, I aggressively
pursed Keenan Allen, who I think is setup for a major bounce-back campaign
considering he has been targeted a total of 213 times in his first two NFL
seasons. A decrease in touchdowns from 2013 (8) to 2014 (4) might scare off
some skeptics of Allen, but I believe he is incredibly undervalued in PPR
formats. Fortunately, I made this trade before the news broke of Antonio Gates’
four game suspension, or else Allen’s price likely would have increased. Still,
I did give up Kendall Wright, who many people believe will benefit from Marcus
Mariota’s accuracy and passing ability. Also, trading away a 2016 1st
round draft pick is always a difficult pill to swallow in dynasty, as rookies
are one of the key components to building a successful team. It will be
interesting to see who ends up on the winning side of this trade, but I believe
Allen is an enticing buy-low candidate in dynasty that should be acquired from any
worried owner immediately.
3.)
Rookie Draft Picks:
Typically, a dynasty league will
hold an inaugural draft for its first year, where rosters sizes are built from
20-30 players per team. For every future year, a five-round rookie draft is
held. This is where rookie draft picks comes into the picture, which is also another
factor that separates dynasty from any other fantasy football format. Depending
on the structure of your team, rookie draft picks can be important to collect.
For instance, if a dynasty owner is attempting to win it all, trading rookie
draft picks for current players might be an appealing option. On the other
hand, if a dynasty owner has an aging team and does not have a chance at making
the playoffs, it could be logical to trade away productive players in order to
rebuild with future rookie draft picks. In order to decide if you should trade
for or sell rookie draft picks, it is important to reconsider the concept of
player value that I discussed earlier. Both 1st and 2nd
round rookie draft picks are extremely valuable, as you are likely to draft a
player than can make an immediate impact on your dynasty team. 3rd,
4th, and 5th round draft picks are also valuable, but can
be used as leverage to complete a trade. For example, remember that I traded
for Travis Kelce by giving up Frank Gore, Tyler Eifert, and a 2016 3rd
round draft pick. Although the 3rd round draft pick included in this
deal was not the only reason I was able to successfully make the trade, it
still made an impact since I was willing to sacrifice youth to acquire a player
that I value greatly. As a beginner, it will be difficult to hold onto your
rookie draft picks in dynasty, as they seem useless during the season. However,
I can assure you that collecting rookie draft picks is crucial to building a competitive
dynasty team. In the same respect, selling rookie draft picks at opportune
times is also an important skill to practice, as dynasty owners will often
overpay for picks when the NFL Draft comes around due to media and hype
surrounding incoming players.
To recap, dynasty football consists of
three main elements: value, trades, and rookie draft picks. All three of these
concepts are important aspects that any dynasty league owner needs to become familiar
with. Understanding and practicing such concepts are easier said than done. Thus,
I urge you to create or join a dynasty league today and gain a competitive
advantage for re-draft and DFS leagues that you will play in this season. I’m
confident that the sheer exposure of information and resources you will stumble
upon related to dynasty content will help you succeed this upcoming fantasy
season. If not, I’m always here to answer your questions. The Dynasty Advantage
is now at your fingertips.
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